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机构发出异动信号 收益风险匹配度高

发布时间:2013-12-25 14:23:00 来源:eastmoney 浏览:次 function ContentSize(size) {document.getElementById('MyContent').style.fontSize=size+'px';} 【字体:
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  一般而言,当一只股票异动的时候,均伴随着消息面、基本面上的信号,如果机构在异动中有大量的资金进出,则代表了机构对该股对于信号的认可,该信号对于个股未来股价走势也将出现较大程度的反应。事实也的确如此。据证券时报数据部统计,交易异动期机构首次净买入金额超过千万元的个股,在异动后股价短期、中期整体均出现上涨。

  其中,异动信号5个交易日股价平均涨幅2.45%,20个交易日股价平均涨幅2.76%,60个交易日股价平均涨幅7.79%。可见,在机构发出的异动信号后,中线持股收益整体上优于短线持股收益。机构发出异动信号后5个交易日个股表现方面,70只个股涨幅超过10%,21只个股跌幅超过10%,大涨个股比大跌个股比值为3.33倍;机构发出异动信号后20个交易日个股表现方面,涨幅超过10%的个股上升至113只,跌幅超过10%的个股则升至88只,大涨个股比大跌个股比值仅为1.28倍;机构发出异动信号后60个交易日个股表现方面,涨幅超过10%的个股有148只,下跌超过10%的个股110只,比值1.34倍。

  上述现象或许说明,机构发出异动信号的个股,短期上涨幅度虽小,但盈利确定性相对较高;中期上涨幅度虽大,但确定性则相对较低。这也较大程度上契合了风险与收益匹配的原理。

年内首次机构异动股异动后股价表现
代码简称机构异动信号日净买入金额(万元)发生日后5日涨跌幅(%)20日涨跌幅(%)60日涨跌幅(%)
002439启明星辰2013.12.241366.54
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300226上海钢联2013.07.118048.7131.6940.97161.56
002091江苏国泰2013.05.031718.9230.6810.736.04
002229鸿博股份2013.07.259734.3230.2440.8123.91
600639浦东金桥2013.08.272583.1930.0844.366.67
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300185通裕重工2013.12.022580.1420.583.803.80
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000829天音控股2013.01.082049.3518.696.31-1.64
002313日海通讯2013.07.092539.4918.6541.9729.47
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300336新文化2013.03.183642.6211.2020.2832.54
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300232洲明科技2013.02.261537.9311.181.4611.61
002139拓邦股份2013.05.072696.0511.0810.4927.76
002630华西能源2013.01.312627.7311.0426.2822.78
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300247桑乐金2013.09.173542.0210.069.860.00
300066三川股份2013.11.211989.3710.0122.6719.41
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300262巴安水务2013.10.171314.529.78-1.12-9.15
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600596新安股份2013.01.101107.699.2327.1053.14
002241歌尔声学2013.05.026335.849.0922.0816.93
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002234民和股份2013.01.314330.888.37-4.64-7.73
002390信邦制药2013.08.295996.648.358.5927.41
002400省广股份2013.02.042435.828.3519.3262.15
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600388龙净环保2013.02.251872.108.135.0540.55
300140启源装备2013.10.161647.208.13-7.0639.03
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002679福建金森2013.09.031432.157.925.7220.30
300034钢研高纳2013.06.131481.367.78-6.143.38
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300113顺网科技2013.09.231950.077.58-31.69-31.69
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300088长信科技2013.06.274886.287.50-13.95-9.56
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002416爱施德2013.09.024225.837.4155.1437.15
002655共达电声2013.03.211690.587.381.997.89
002080中材科技2013.02.252010.157.3420.5263.83
300118东方日升2013.10.161301.127.24-8.64-27.22
300309吉艾科技2013.04.012188.667.225.951.28
600703三安光电2013.05.1713656.477.174.599.99
000977浪潮信息2013.05.138951.957.130.2638.38
002429兆驰股份2013.09.106724.877.0817.2232.69
002020京新药业2013.04.247288.347.0321.3029.47
300305裕兴股份2013.05.141694.086.99-13.74-20.13
002312三泰电子2013.12.041498.516.98-6.45-6.45
002302西部建设2013.08.301874.076.93-5.14-8.35
600185格力地产2013.10.088277.816.92-5.495.61
002524光正集团2013.03.141574.466.911.2857.96
300133华策影视2013.04.033369.156.9136.5869.20
300039上海凯宝2013.07.052186.446.8815.0610.28
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002223鱼跃医疗2013.05.272037.236.67-0.123.11
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300311任子行2013.05.081291.256.244.5130.61
300330华虹计通2013.09.119329.186.157.04-12.50
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300350华鹏飞2013.11.131062.955.88-2.40-9.64
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603000人民网2013.05.061814.064.463.7520.84
300004南风股份2013.08.021075.324.450.7123.10
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300159新研股份2013.06.131674.232.56-3.4611.37
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2.452.767.79
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